Charlotte Property Management Weekly: Charlotte Headlines Say Real Estate Market is on Rebound? Or Not?

“There are no facts, just interpretations.” Friedrich Nietzsche




On a whole, I like honesty. I like it when people tell me what they really think (within reason). And if they don’t have anything interesting or worthwhile to say, omission works well for me too. I like things clear and easily understood.



So it came to my chagrin when I was reading a headline of an article this week that blared, “N.C. foreclosure sales drop 42%.” Wow!! 42%? That’s almost half! Is the job market trending up in our southern paradise? 2011 must be when the US economy really rebounds led by the Tarheels of North Carolina! Charlotte is ready to do its part! This must mean that home price stabilization is around the corner and real estate will start picking up and lead our country to another streak of prosperity!



But wait… I really hadn’t heard anything about the local real estate market getting noticeably better; rather I’ve continued to hear the opposite. Homes sales in Charlotte have continued to dwindle (I read another headline saying that Charlotte home closings were down 23% in 10/10 when compared to 10/09!). Well, I guess that has nothing to do with people actually staying in their homes. So less foreclosed homes equals better capitalized consumers, which equals more consumers with jobs, which equals a better economy, which equals a more robust (and rising!) real estate market? Cool!



And then I actually read the article. The 42% foreclosure decrease was due to the halting of foreclosures due to questionable bank procedures. That explains it! So, this statistic is artificial and misleading. We’ll soon see a headline in the coming months saying that foreclosures are up 42%+ to make up for the halted foreclosures now.



And now that I think about it, our firm did have some closings that were held up because of this foreclosure freeze. So what does that mean about the 23% decline in home sale closings statistic compiled from 10/10 (when compared to 10/09)? Does that make that statistic artificial and misleading as well?



The clearest answer is “yeah, probably.” Who can figure out what’s going on? Maybe this is what Wall Street legend, Peter Lynch, was talking about when he said, “The man who studies macroeconomics for 15 minutes a year wastes 10 minutes.” There are too many moving parts to get a true picture of reality!



It’s like the rock band that labors through the reading of their 2,000 word concert review in Rolling Stone magazine and only wants to know one thing: “Do they think we rock?” I just want the same type of clarity from the headlines I read.



Are things getting better or worse?



Brett Furniss is the President & Owner of BDF Realty (“Charlotte’s Most Innovative Property Management & Investment Company”), and Rent-To-Sell Realty (“When You Need a New Solution to Sell Your Home”) which specialize in rent-to-own (lease options) and rent-to-sell homes. His newest book, A Real Estate Agent’s Complete Guide to Representing Rent-To-Own (Lease Option) Tenants (Delight Clients, Fill Vacant Homes, and Earn $2,250* Upfront! (*Minimum!)